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Barratt Dewey's avatar

Awesome piece.

FWIW, Neros won a ~$17M contract with the USMC to deliver ~8,000 Archer Strike sUAS in November. PBAS also has an FY26 budget of over $36M, so as one of three companies under that program, Neros' revenue is likely higher than publicly disclosed, assuming orders have been placed against that. Plus, they placed second (first among US manufacturers) in DDP Gauntlet 1, which could convert into added revenue if that success continues and orders (currently listed at ~2,400) ramp up. Anecdotal, but Neros' factory (the one prior to the 250,000-square-foot Project Millennium facility) was the busiest I've visited.

Agree on Firestorms' distributed manufacturing as a core differentiator and real revenue driver (including the $30M APFIT contract—boostable to $50M—announced last week: https://www.tectonicdefense.com/exclusive-firestorm-snags-30m-apfit-contract/). That is filling a real need and delivering a critical capability, especially in INDOPACOM.

That said, Firestorm licensing HP's 3D printing technology (five-year global exclusive for use in mobile deployment units) does raise the question of what happens when that expires in ~2030 tbh—if I were HP and saw 3D-printer-based distributed manufacturing taking off, I'd think about launching my own xCell-style unit to own, manufacture, and deliver the full stack.

PDW, as far as I know, is pretty much as described. Not making the cut for DDP Gauntlet 1 is also a concern for the company, though capacity, especially relative to other firms, does matter to some degree. However, Neros can also claim that as Project Millennium comes online.

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